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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.

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allinchamathjason.libsyn.com/website

Episodes

E106: SBF's media strategy, FTX culpability, ChatGPT, SaaS slowdown & more

(0:00) Bestie hangover!

(1:05) Analyzing SBF's media tour: his angle, media coverage, and more

(21:09) FTX culpability: media, investors, regulators

(53:41) Challenging media coverage of other countries, China's current situation, Xi Jinping's standing

(1:10:04) What OpenAI's new ChatGPT tool means for the future

(1:26:30) David Sacks on the slowdown in SaaS, use case endgame for generative AI

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KMZckrBPw38

https://www.coindesk.com/layer2/2022/11/30/ftxs-collapse-was-a-crime-not-an-accident

https://www.wsj.com/articles/sequoia-capital-apologizes-to-limited-partners-for-ftx-investment-11669144914

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/27/opinion/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-fullenkamp.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/technology/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bankruptcy.html

https://twitter.com/lizrhoffman/status/1595193884438568960

https://taibbi.substack.com/p/be-it-resolved-dont-trust-mainstream

https://www.newcomer.co/p/taking-kid-gloves-to-all-in-my-reflections

https://chat.openai.com/chat

https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561

https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1598413401705021440

https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598076726671642624

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598363968547876864

2022-12-03
Link to episode

E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump

0:00 Bestie intros!

2:19 Trump announces 2024 presidential bid

26:07 Each bestie names their most important policy issue for 2024

59:03 Big tech belt-tightening, activist investor calls out Google, professional-managerial class culture

1:17:23 SBF's leaked DMs, Elon's culture shift

1:38:22 Sacks's big chess victory, Friedberg's public company analysis, and more

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1592951330955759616

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1592970866312482816

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1593041589685063683

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/11/14/trump-motive-mar-a-lago-documents

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1592271468045684736

https://deadline.com/2022/11/donald-trump-2024-new-york-post-ivanka-trump-1235173748

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDGDPA188S

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_public_debt

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S

https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/17/23465169/amazon-layoffs-continuing-2023-ceo-andy-jassy

https://www.tcifund.com/files/corporateengageement/alphabet/15th%20November%202022.pdf

https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1593606745955348481

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1590110462347444224

https://twitter.com/g_shullenberger/status/1590069877288886274

https://compactmag.com/article/the-email-caste-s-last-stand

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23462333/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-cryptocurrency-effective-altruism-crypto-bahamas-philanthropy

https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1593448516394881024

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1593653573329436672

https://cointelegraph.com/news/sbf-received-1-billion-in-personal-loans-from-alameda-ftx-bankrupty-filing

https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/FTXFILING.pdf

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1593141361582444544

2022-11-19
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E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more

(0:00) New bestie game show!

(6:20) Election recap: Red wave falls flat, Republican party flips from Trump to DeSantis, a rebuke of extremism

(20:47) Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong joins to break down the FTX collapse, further contagion risk, regulation, and more!

(43:32) Red flags exhibited by Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX, lack of governance/diligence

(1:06:00) Macroeconomic picture, lower than expected CPI print catalyzes market tear, advice for founders

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/10/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-diplomacy.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ftx-files-for-chapter-11-bankruptcy-11668176869

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-11/summers-says-ftx-meltdown-has-whiffs-of-enron-like-scandal

https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-joe-biden-democratic-party-second-biggest-donor

https://web.archive.org/web/20221109230422/https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlight

https://twitter.com/GordonJohnson19/status/1591062535586848768

2022-11-12
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E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more

(0:00) Jason's new brand deal

(1:18) Bestie updates

(9:12) "Ligma/Johnson" blunder outside of Twitter HQ

(15:38) Surge of tech layoffs at Twitter, Stripe, Lyft, Opendoor, Chime and others; preparing for a longer downturn than originally anticipated

(35:28) Macro trends, big tech freezes hiring, how founders can think about the last 3 years and the next 3 years

(54:04) Midterm election preview, understanding the shift toward populism

(1:17:32) Science corner: Understanding Meta's AlphaFold competitor

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588538640401018880

https://twitter.com/yoyoel/status/1587230924554399744

https://twitter.com/dee_bosa/status/1587158734689767425

https://twitter.com/TechBroDrip/status/1586370087287521280

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586149451348910081

https://layoffs.fyi

https://twitter.com/Post_Market/status/1577793695734284289

https://twitter.com/bullfightcap/status/1588311417052012544

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBkzm4a7iY4

https://finra-markets.morningstar.com/BondCenter/BondDetail.jsp?ticker=C996374&symbol=COIN5259271

https://www.cnsnews.com/article/washington/susan-jones/622-labor-force-participation-declines-3rd-straight-month

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/employment-research/are-economists-underestimating-the-labor-force-participation-rate

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-63471725

https://www.google.com/finance

https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1554589241560010753

https://appleinsider.com/articles/22/11/02/apple-is-freezing-hiring-cutting-budgets-claims-new-report

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/cnn-poll-democrats-midterm-elections/index.html

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879

https://www.axios.com/2022/11/04/trump-presidential-run-2024-announcement

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

https://www.joshbarro.com/p/the-problem-with-pro-democracy-rhetoric

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCSSTUS1&f=M

https://about.fb.com/news/2022/11/ai-protein-research-could-drive-progress-in-medicine-clean-energy

2022-11-05
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E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more

E101: Ye acquires Parler, Snap drops 30%, macro outlook, VC metrics, valuing stocks & more

E100: Reflecting on the first 100 shows, fan questions, nuclear threat, markets, Amazon & more

(0:00) Bestie intros are back!

(6:35) Reflecting on the first 100 episodes and what makes the show special

(29:12) Fan questions: Building in a downturn, how to be successful in tech, importance of uncapped upside, and more

(53:43) Ukraine/Russia update: Nuclear escalation, when to draw a line in the sand, how inflation could deescalate any WWIII scenario

(1:14:57) Reacting to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy's comments at an all-hands meeting earlier this week, VC firms buying public tech stocks

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.businessinsider.com/leaked-amazon-slides-instruct-employees-to-double-down-frugality-2022-10

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/12/amazon-cost-cuts-under-andy-jassy-reflect-new-reality-after-25-years.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/venture-firms-are-betting-on-public-tech-stocks-as-startup-market-stalls-11665653404

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/13/business/inflation-cpi-report

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/12/opinion/china-semiconductors-exports.html

2022-10-14
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E99: Cheating scandals, Twitter updates, rapid AI advancements, Biden's pardon, Section 230 & more

E98: Big tech starts making cuts, Fed incompetency, global debt, Russia/Ukraine & more

0:00 Bestie intros!

1:36 Big tech starts making cuts, plus what this means for the broader economy and startups

31:09 Global debt numbers, Fed incompetency

54:06 RIP Coolio

1:00:30 Russia / Ukraine update

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/meta-announces-hiring-freeze-warns-employees-of-restructuring

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/stanley-druckenmiller-sees-hard-landing-in-2023-with-a-possible-deeper-recession-than-many-expect.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ

https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/if-youre-going-to-build-something-from-scratch-this-might-be-as-good-a-time-as-in-a-decade

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2021/05/11/billionaire-investor-druckenmiller-blasts-feds-radical-stimulus-policy-warns-it-risks-stock-bubble-blowing-up

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/cnbc-transcript-duquesne-family-office-chairman-ceo-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-joe-kernen-live-during-the-cnbc-delivering-alpha-conference-today.html

https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1M

https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/unemp-per-job-opening.htm

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-nation-of-quitters-great-enabling-exodus-working-age-men-parents-stimulus-covid-quit-retirement-bohemian-videogame-11664112795

https://goop.com/subscribe

https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-host-kremlin-ceremony-annexing-parts-ukraine-2022-09-29

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/zelenskiy-says-ukraine-applying-nato-membership-2022-09-30

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/qa-nord-stream-gas-sabotage-whos-being-blamed-why-2022-09-30

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/former-polish-foreign-minister-thanks-us-for-damaging-nord-stream-pipeline/2696530

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/should-america-go-all-in-on-ukraine

2022-10-01
Link to episode

E97: SPAC updates, public/private market overview, Putin's end game & more

0:00 Bestie intros!

1:03 SPAC updates, state of the public/private markets

20:26 US VCs have $290B in dry powder and raised a record amount in H1 2022, is the market nearing a bottom?

31:14 Risks of backing Putin into a corner, Russia's end game, conditions for conflict

50:45 Government-heavy climate plans, Dilbert/ESG backlash

1:01:20 Poker plans, chess cheating scandal

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://youtu.be/AODfsBMGzGQ

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1461453308623659010

https://marketbrief.edweek.org/marketplace-k-12/byjus-releases-delayed-audit-report-showing-large-losses-2021

https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2022-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor

https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html

https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/douglas-macarthur-atomic-bombs-will-win-the-korean-war/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html

https://sites.tufts.edu/css/mip-research/#:~:text=According%20to%20our%20data%2C%20the,these%20missions%20occurred%20after%201999

https://www.brown.edu/news/2021-09-01/costsofwar

https://www.wsj.com/articles/gavin-newsoms-2024-climate-platform-california-40-climate-bills-energy-electricity-blackouts-11663702766

https://twitter.com/UncommonYield/status/1572743593508638722

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1572399621389062145

2022-09-23
Link to episode

E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more

2022-09-17
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E95: Winter is Coming, Europe's energy crisis, Kim Kardashian's new PE firm & more

0:00 Bestie intros: Luxury brand influencers, Birthday Party stories and more!

3:34 Jason reflects on the final Kara Swisher-hosted Code Conference, All-In media and hit piece requests

12:53 Passing of Queen Elizabeth II

15:39 Winter is Coming: Europe's energy crisis, potential fracturing of the Western Alliance, how we got here, endgame, and more

53:03 Kim Kardashian's new PE firm, content as the dominant distribution channel, what will mega-influencers do to legacy brands

1:03:46 Overprescribing of amphetamines to children

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod/status/1568294657632907268

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfJv9QYrlwg

https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/europe-energy-crisis-is-at-a-tipping-point.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/truss-ukraine-ally-tory-leadership-race-b2151390.html

https://www.voanews.com/a/scholz-g-7-will-support-ukraine-for-as-long-as-necessary-/6623196.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/macron-vows-to-prevent-russia-from-winning-war-in-ukraine/2022/09/01/ba57cb7a-29f3-11ed-a90a-fce4015dfc8f_story.html

https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1566484400224993280

 

2022-09-10
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E94: NFT volume plummets, California's overreach, FBI meddling, climate change & national security

(0:00) Bestie intros + Burning Man debate

(4:16) NFT trading volume plummets

(10:20) California's new fast food wages bill, government creating bad incentives, how the free market response will further the labor issue

(40:15) Zuckerberg on Rogan, FBI interference with the Hunter Biden laptop story

(52:00) Balancing fighting climate change without harming the economy or national security, EU energy policy failure

(1:06:04) Besties reflect on Mikhail Gorbachev's passing

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/looks-bare-opensea-turns-into-nft-ghost-town-after-volume-plunges-99-in-90-days

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlXSGqvP-A8

https://thefederalist.com/2022/08/30/zuckerbergs-admission-of-fbi-meddling-in-2020-election-is-even-bigger-than-it-seems/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/23/us/california-nuclear-power-diablo.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/california-fast-food-wages-would-be-set-by-government-under-bill-passed-by-state-senate-11661811509

2022-09-01
Link to episode

E93: Twitter whistleblower, cloud security vulnerabilities, student debt forgiveness & more

0:00 Bestie intros!

1:25 Twitter's former head of security makes allegations against the company

22:08 Foreign countries placing government agents in US tech companies, cloud security vulnerabilities

33:54 Student loan forgiveness

1:03:25 Red wave or red ripple?

1:07:57 Science corner: Gut microbiome, fecal transplants

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2022/twitter-whistleblower-sec-spam

https://www.npr.org/2022/08/23/1119071586/twitter-whistleblower-complaint-elon-musk-security-bots-fake-users

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html

https://time.com/6207996/twitter-whistleblower-allegations/

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179576800763904

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179705322684416

https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-forced-twitter-put-agent-payroll-whistleblower-says-2022-08-23

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1562105413977493504

https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-08-24-musk-gets-a-potential-boost-with-twitter-whistle-blowers-claims-2

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html

https://www.zuckermanlaw.com/sp_faq/largest-sec-whistleblower-awards

https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2021/06/30/the-need-for-legislative-reform-on-secrecy-orders

https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-shifting-coalition

https://fortune.com/2022/08/24/biden-changing-income-driven-repayment-plan-student-debt-borrowers

https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1562040653432999936

https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/2022-primaries/red-wave-looks-more-ripple

https://www.cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092-8674(22)00919-9.pdf

https://grow.google

2022-08-26
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E92: Adam Neumann's second act, a16z's $350M bet, housing policy, Inflation Reduction Act & more

0:00 Bestie intro plus a new moderator!

7:19 Adam Neumann raises $350M from a16z for his new residential real estate startup Flow

25:32 Housing policy: Bay Area, Houston, Miami differences

45:41 China, Saudi Arabia, Russia increase relations: should the US be worried?

1:01:09 Inflation Reduction Act signed into law: climate change impact, CBO scorecard, IRS beefed up, carbon tax, big pharma pricing, and more

1:29:47 Chamath ends his spat with Phil Hellmuth, FBI raid follow-up

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/15/business/dealbook/adam-neumann-flow-new-company-wework-real-estate.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PLD:NYSE

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WE:NYSE

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BX:NYSE

https://a16z.com/2020/04/18/its-time-to-build

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-05/vc-marc-andreessen-opposes-plan-for-multi-family-atherton-housing

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/16/xi-jinping-saudi-arabia-trip-middle-east-influence-00052023

https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541

https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-to-join-russia-military-exercises-as-u-s-rivals-deepen-ties-11660755790

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/saudi-pif-buys-shares-alphabet-zoom-microsoft-us-shopping-spree-2022-08-16

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/playing-fire-ukraine

https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-08/hr5376_IR_Act_8-3-22.pdf

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/what-a-carbon-tax-can-do-and-why-it-cannot-do-it-all

https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2022/08/18/fbi_unit_leading_mar-a-lago_probe_previously_led_russiagate_hoax_848582.html

2022-08-20
Link to episode

E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more

0:00 Bestie intros!

2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative?

22:45 Looking at COVID trends with a post-COVID view: e-commerce, remote work, and how they correlate

36:33 "Inflation Reduction Act", how government subsidies can stifle innovation

59:50 Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen for $300M

1:17:36 Democrats backing MAGA candidates in primaries vs. more moderate republicans: savvy and cynical or too risky?

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2022-advance-estimate#:~:text=Real%20gross%20domestic%20product%20

https://news.shopify.com/changes-to-shopifys-team

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDOC:NYSE

https://www.wsj.com/articles/whats-in-joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumers-reconciliation-deal-on-climate-health-and-tax-policy-11658973323

https://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/1552406981637545993

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/24/world/africa/congo-oil-gas-auction.html

https://www.science.org/content/article/potential-fabrication-research-images-threatens-key-theory-alzheimers-disease

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01661-0

https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/ginkgo-acquire-zymergen/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/26/us/politics/democrats-john-gibbs-peter-meijer.html

https://twitter.com/ConanOBrien/status/1552358211986006019

https://twitter.com/maga_cy/status/1552360064693915648

 

2022-07-29
Link to episode

E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more

0:00 Bestie intros

1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism

48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook

1:09:21 Automation and the impact of the information economy

1:16:31 BlackRock loses $1.7T of investor money during H1 2021, state of private and public markets

1:36:36 Amazon acquires One Medical

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/pelositracker_/status/1549535561718714368

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/20/biden-pelosi-trip-taiwan-china-military-00047031

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nancy-pelosis-taiwan-education-china-taipei-military-defense-11658265311

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/china-warns-forceful-measures-if-us-house-speaker-pelosi-visits-taiwan-2022-07-19/

https://www.tesla.com/blog/tesla-repays-department-energy-loan-nine-years-early

https://housestockwatcher.com/summary_by_rep/Hon.%20Nancy%20Pelosi

https://www.thedailybeast.com/democrats-quietly-try-to-jam-nancy-pelosi-on-stock-trading-ban

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3852

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/opinion/democrats-far-right-midterms.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/19/trailer-desantis-beats-trump-democrats-bet-maga-more-lessons-latest-fundraising-quarter/

https://www.reuters.com/article/obama-abortion/obama-says-abortion-rights-law-not-a-top-priority-idUKN2946642020090430

https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1549868945640914951

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/18/spanish-language-media-disinformation/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/world/asia/china-bank-scandal-protest.html

https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1549790086656581640

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/01/17/world/asia/china-population-crisis.html

https://www.ft.com/content/91441aca-1665-4660-843f-9cf7222becff

https://datacommons.org/place/country/CHN

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/china-housing-market-slowdown-drags-economy

https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-economic-distress-deepens-as-lockdowns-drag-on-11652703162

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220531-why-chinas-population-is-shrinking

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/sp.dyn.tfrt.in?locations=cn

https://www.wsj.com/articles/xi-jinping-aims-to-rein-in-chinese-capitalism-hew-to-maos-socialist-vision-11632150725

https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2022/07/20/how-blackrock-lost-1-7t-of-clients-money/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/21/business/amazon-one-medical-deal.html

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-21/ex-coinbase-manager-arrested-in-us-crypto-insider-trading-case

 

2022-07-22
Link to episode

E87: Emerging markets, Sri Lanka, 9.1% CPI, market sentiment, NASA's Webb telescope & more

0:00 Bestie intros!

1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down

36:01 9.1% CPI print

48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors

1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images

1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play

BEAGLE RESCUE INFO:

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html

https://www.humanesociety.org/beaglerescue

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2021&locations=VN-US-CN&start=1984&view=chart

https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-inflation-and-interest-rates-heap-pressure-on-emerging-markets-11655544600

https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/sri-lanka-protests-07-13-22-intl/index.html

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/emerging-markets-drive-global-debt-record-303-trillion-iif-2022-02-23/

https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/fertiliser-ban-decimates-sri-lankan-crops-government-popularity-ebbs-2022-03-03

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/what-next-for-sri-lanka/

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-05/sri-lanka-aims-to-stop-money-printing-as-inflation-nears-60

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/561467714485514240

https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-sri-lanka

https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/green-dogma-behind-fall-of-sri-lanka

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3134224/why-china-building-gleaming-new-government-facilities-africa

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/2186970/how-presidential-palace-burundi-fits-chinas-plans-africa

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rufaskamau/2022/07/11/inflation-protests-span-sri-lanka-albania-argentina-panama-kenya-ghanahow-long-before-they-hit-the-united-states/

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi

https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/

https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/compare-photos-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-hubble-space-telescope-rcna37875

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-greg-robinson-images-11657137487

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOTV:NASDAQ

https://www.wsj.com/articles/no-business-experience-needed-joe-biden-white-house-officials-committee-to-unleash-prosperity-report-11657661328

2022-07-14
Link to episode

E86: Macro outlook: jobs, housing, inflation + Dutch farmers protests & EU climate missteps

0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree

2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom

39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green"

48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root causes, how to move forward with smarter legislation

1:09:39 Biden's decline, Bezos responds to Biden's tweet on bringing gas prices down

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/06/jolts-job-openings-may-2022-.html

https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/hire-seps-rates.htm

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-job-openings-dip-to-11-3-million-but-labor-market-still-historically-strong-11657122659

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/fed-sees-more-restrictive-rates-possible-if-inflation-persists

https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/12/net-international-migration-at-lowest-levels-in-decades.html

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cb-consumer-confidence-48

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-conference-board-june-2022-143536146.html

https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/existing-home-sales#chart-existing-home-sales-vs-30yr-rate

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-drops-to-record-low-as-inflation-worries-grip-u-s-11656079725

https://www.forbes.com/sites/darreonnadavis/2022/07/05/88-of-americans-say-us-is-on-wrong-track/

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/

https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1544057786065092609

https://news.metal.com/newscontent/101881567/Turkey-Discovers-694-million-mt-of-Rare-Earth-Element-Reserves-with-Infrastructure-Construction-Starting-This-Year/

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/

https://twitter.com/GretaThunberg/status/1544380486654590983

https://mobile.twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1544573867804348416

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-01/jpmorgan-sees-stratospheric-380-oil-on-worst-case-russian-cut

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/explainer-dutch-farmers-protesting-emissions-85848026

https://www.amazon.com/The-Alchemy-of-Air-Thomas-Hager-audiobook/dp/B0046Y0BP0/ref=sr_1_1

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_070522/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/eurizon-fund-holds-unloved-assets-to-beat-peers-in-esg-market

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/07/07/uk-boris-johnson-resignation/

https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1543263229006254080

https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1543409762867494912

https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1544370315379109888

2022-07-08
Link to episode

E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more

0:00 Bestie intros

4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market

18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending

34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech

1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change"

1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war?

1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/25/morgan-creek-is-trying-to-counter-ftxs-blockfi-bailout-leaked-call-shows/

https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690

https://californiahealthline.org/news/article/tech-titans-want-the-richest-californians-to-pay-for-pandemic-preparedness/

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gensler-labels-bitcoin-a-commodity-as-crypto-prices-stabilize-11656340239

https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin

https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum

https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/

https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/24/zendesk-drama-concludes-with-102-billion-private-equity-acquisition

https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/

https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2021-Results/default.aspx

https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-First-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422

https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/25/zendesk-terminates-4-1b-surveymonkey-acquisition-after-its-own-investors-reject-deal/

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE

https://www.issgovernance.com/library/resurgence-of-evergreen-features-in-ipo-equity-plans-restrict-investor-say/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-25/jana-partners-pulls-zendesk-proxy-fight-after-9-5-billion-deal

https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf

https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html

https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html

https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/

https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074

https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/

https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/putin-warns-russia-will-act-if-nato-crosses-its-red-lines-ukraine-2021-11-30/

https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-follows-decades-of-warnings-that-nato-expansion-into-eastern-europe-could-provoke-russia-177999

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/wireStory/us-officials-land-solomons-discuss-china-pact-concerns-84238211

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html

https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/

https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5

https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3182517/does-chinas-demotion-its-deputy-foreign-minister-signal

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326

All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q

2022-06-30
Link to episode

E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus

7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes

32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings

47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months

56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop

1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing

1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom?

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/consumer-price-index-may-2022.html

https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/tc-energy-terminates-keystone-xl-pipeline-project.html

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-talks-with-allies-russian-oil-price-cap-says-yellen-2022-06-20/

https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1Y

https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-bls-price-checkers-who-determine-cpi-11652132333

https://www.chicagofed.org/research/dual-mandate/dual-mandate

https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/top_stories/right_direction_wrong_track_jun20

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers

https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter

https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund

https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin

https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/17/three-arrows-capitalconfirms-heavy-losses-from-lunas-collapse-exploring-potential-options-report

https://www.ft.com/content/19c27ae1-ae72-4668-b3a9-162adc27dffc

https://decrypt.co/103489/solend-whale-108m-loan-nearly-crashed-solana

https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/former-employee-nft-marketplace-charged-first-ever-digital-asset-insider-trading-scheme

https://www.ft.com/content/4e211784-83eb-49a2-ba39-8976345a88d5

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-ammunition-donbas-russia/

https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/why-ukraine-will-win/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-02/london-listed-russian-stocks-erase-570-billion-in-two-weeks

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-20/ruble-soars-to-seven-year-high-in-challenge-to-bank-of-russia

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/23/russias-ruble-is-at-strongest-level-in-7-years-despite-sanctions.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-push-for-exceptions-in-europes-sanctions-on-russian-oil-gains-traction-11655913796

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/correction-germany-nuclear-shutdown-story-82051054

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-23/catl-unveils-ev-battery-with-one-charge-range-of-1-000-kms

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/06/why-ron-desantis-can-beat-trump-in-2024.html

2022-06-24
Link to episode

#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Jason intros today's episode

2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing

25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer

53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts

Follow Palmer:

https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Links referenced in the show:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/palmer-luckey-the-facebook-near-billionaire-secretly-funding-trumps-meme-machine

2022-06-23
Link to episode

#AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Antonio Gracias joins to talk: Tesla's early days, investing in Elon, macroeconomic outlook, ROIC, importance of energy independence, future of manufacturing, financial-ization of the P&L & more

22:35 Q: How has the poker game influenced your decision making in business and life?

29:33 Q: What was the scariest step of becoming a first-time fund manager?

32:34 Q: Crypto market unwinding & how it relates to the money supply

35:57 Q: Current pre-seed / seed valuations & metrics

38:58 Q: When investing in early-stage SaaS companies, how to find outliers?

42:11 Q: What would you do if dropped in the middle of Kansas at age 25 with no resources?

44:46 Q: Where will the next disruptions in industrial automation come from & how will the US hit economies of scale in semiconductor manufacturing

47:02 Q: Any plans for All-In Media?

50:02 Q: US strategy in the Russia/Ukraine War

54:19 Q: How have your first impressions changed as you've matured in your career, and whose first impressions have stood out to you the most?

58:29 Q: Are you interested in crypto micropayments?

1:00:55 Q: Biggest mistakes of your career that you've learned the most from?

1:09:54 Q: What impact could tech have on political discourse? What does a viable path forward look like?

1:15:36 Q: Are remote / distributed startup systems viable coming out of the pandemic?

1:19:41 Q: Advice for non-technical people trying to get into the startup world?

1:24:44 Q: Thoughts on the potential consumer credit crisis?

1:26:17 Lightning round: What problem do you most want to solve right now? All-In consortium? Can SMBs democratize their own labor supply? How to get more investors interested in hardware? Will this be a relatively short recession?

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-06-07
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#AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Yung Spielburg intros the Besties + Besties give reactions to the All-In Summit

5:56 Miami Mayor Francis Suarez joins the Besties on stage to chat: Miami's emergence as a tech hub, his governing principles, crypto, what the future holds & more

Follow Mayor Suarez:

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Intro Music Credit:

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2022-06-03
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#AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Joe Lonsdale speaks about the problem with higher education and the importance of debate/truth-seeking

10:13 Bestie Q&A with Joe: Why Americans feel victimized, what happened in 1971, getting off the gold standard, school choice, starting UATX

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https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-06-02
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#AIS: The Lanby's Tandice Urban on solving healthcare's customer service problem

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 The Lanby's Tandice Urban breaks down why healthcare has a customer service problem, and how to fix it

12:28 Bestie Q&A: changing American's perspective on healthcare, opportunity for DTC health brands, why is medical spend at all-time highs while avg lifespan has flatlined/slightly decreased? 

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2022-06-01
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#AIS: MP Materials CEO James Litinsky on rare earths, supply chain, and energy independence

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Chamath intros MP Materials CEO James Litinsky

1:13 James gives a talk on supply chain, energy independence, acquiring the Mountain Pass mine and starting MP Materials

12:48 Bestie Q&A with James: US falling behind in rare earth mining, risk compliance, energy independence breeding geopolitical leverage, mining lithium in the ocean vs Earth's crust, and more

Follow MP Materials:

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Intro Music Credit:

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https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-31
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#AIS: Pear VC?s Mar Hershenson on making successful founders

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Pear VC Founding Managing Partner Mar Hershenson gives a talk on making successful entrepreneurs: can great founders be created, or is it something they are born with?

17:04 Bestie Q&A with Mar: Catalyzing great founders, why the PayPal Mafia created more unicorns than early Google employees, creating more opportunity for underrepresented founders, inducing failure & more

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2022-05-31
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#AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think

19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms

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Intro Music Credit:

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2022-05-29
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#AIS: Divvy Homes CEO Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022

16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more

30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself!

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Intro Music Credit:

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https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-29
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#AIS: Glenn Greenwald & Matt Taibbi discuss the new political divide, moderated by David Sacks

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami!

0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America

2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse

12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality?

29:15 Audience Q&A

Follow the guests:

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Intro Music Credit:

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https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-28
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E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show

1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments

16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty?

29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement

51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential

1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction

1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX

https://investors.zoom.us/news-releases/news-release-details/zoom-video-communications-reports-financial-results-first

https://investors.snowflake.com/news/news-details/2022/Snowflake-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-2023/default.aspx

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE

https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005

https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083

https://layoffs.fyi

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ

https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo

https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776

https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200

https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Total_Deaths_in_US_Mass_Shootings_1982-2021.jpg

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529504198974263296

2022-05-27
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#AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist  

0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking

26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture

51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players

Follow the guests:

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https://twitter.com/rabois

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-26
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#AIS: Antonio Garcia Martinez & Glenn Greenwald debate Ukraine, moderated by David Sacks

This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine

This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami!

1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio

15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more

32:01 Final word & wrap

Follow the guests:   https://twitter.com/ggreenwald   https://twitter.com/antoniogm   Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-25
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E82: All-In Summit: Claire Cormier Thielke on China + Q&A with Flexport's Ryan Petersen

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation"

17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry

24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is subsidizing its negative birth rate

34:30 Ryan Petersen breaks down Flexport's business, the tumultuous past few years, and how DTC might be in major trouble

46:34 Asset-heavy play as a hedge against the popular trend of asset-light, velocity vs. speed, Flexport.org's humanitarian relief shipping, China's influence

Follow the guests:

https://twitter.com/clairethielke

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-24
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E81: All-In Summit: Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist

0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn

12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality

24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions

33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses

47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2022-05-23
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E69: Elon Musk on Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories, Giga Texas & more

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit!

0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration

13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company

21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter

30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories

39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar

56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes

1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

2022-05-17
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E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros!

4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons

31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds

41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn

58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at

1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses

1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976

https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm

https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672

https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624

https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064

https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com

https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/

https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568

https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/

https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

2022-05-13
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E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein

0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade

28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade

43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices?

1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward

Follow Amy and Tom:

https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger

https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft

https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf

https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf

https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292

https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330

https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf

https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx

https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx

 

2022-05-07
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E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest

0:00 Bestie intros

4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets

29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth

44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions

1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering

1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board

1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law

Follow the besties:

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https://twitter.com/friedberg

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https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter

https://twitter.com/jasongoepfert/status/1520040516955643905

https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-q1-11651108351

https://twitter.com/lizannsonders/status/1520021943621140483

https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489128016508719104

https://educationdata.org/wp-content/uploads/78/historical-cost-of-tuition-and-fees-room-and-board.webp

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/should-biden-forgive-student-loan-debt/629700/

https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-70

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-immigration-media-europe-misinformation-4e873389889bb1d9e2ad8659d9975e9d

https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/01/us/politics/russia-2016-election-facebook.html

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1519073003933515776

2022-04-30
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E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong

0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie!

4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase

26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption

46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins

51:14 Netflix's major headwinds

Follow the besties:

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https://twitter.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804

https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22433437/apple-hire-antonio-garcia-martinez-out-petition-investigation

https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/20/22446059/apple-employees-palestinians-support-internal-letter-tim-cook

https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/4/22491629/apple-employees-push-back-return-office-internal-letter-tim-cook

https://www.wsj.com/articles/revolt-in-disneys-florida-kingdom-ron-desantis-bob-chapek-11650578648

https://variety.com/2021/film/news/dave-chappelle-netflix-ted-sarandos-i-screwed-up-1235093098/

https://sacks.substack.com/p/your-startup-is-a-movement?s=r

https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1435439291715358721

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/09/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-sign-executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-innovation-in-digital-assets/

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/howey-test.asp

https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-thieves-get-bolder-by-the-heist-stealing-record-amounts-11650582598

https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/axie-infinity-creator-raises-150m-round-to-compensate-victims-of-625m-ronin-hack/

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1402030233319088139

https://nypost.com/2022/04/21/ex-mcdonalds-ceo-rensi-companies-have-no-business-in-politics/

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/arts/netflix-loses-200000-subscribers-projects-even-deeper-losses-this-spring

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ

https://ycharts.com/companies/NFLX/market_cap

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-20/ackman-loses-more-than-430-million-on-three-month-netflix-bet

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1516600269899026432

https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

2022-04-23
Link to episode

E76.5: Food shortage, China's grand plan, inflation, French election plus an All-In Summit preview

*** PRODUCER'S NOTE: This is part two of E76. If you want to hear the besties break down Elon vs. Twitter, check out the previous episode.     0:00 Surprise part two!

1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan

9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like

18:22 Understanding French election results so far

23:08 All-In Summit update and preview

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/what-does-chinas-horn-of-africa-envoy-mean-for-its-non-intervention-principle/

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169076/china-unites-somalia-against-growing-taiwanese-somaliland-ties

https://allafrica.com/stories/202203190144.html

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3170851/ukraine-invasion-china-braces-effects-global-fertiliser

https://www.economist.com/china/2022/04/09/when-china-worries-about-food-the-world-pays

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3173619/china-didnt-hoard-grains-stockpiling-ensure-domestic-food

https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-march-2022-11649725215

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1485696010290491393

https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/13/world/europe/le-pen-nato-russia-germany.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/visa-mastercard-fees-will-hurt-consumers-sen-dick-durbin-says-11650046879

https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

2022-04-16
Link to episode

E76: Elon vs. Twitter

0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros

3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more

30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee

43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1514564966564651008

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/twitter-adopts-limited-duration-shareholder-rights-plan-enabling-all-shareholders-to-realize-full-value-of-company-301526627.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26_Forbes_Holdings,_Inc.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465922045641/tm2212748d1_sc13da.htm

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE

https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477

https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1514578609754812419

https://twitter.com/maxboot/status/1514570168730636290

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477

https://twitter.com/auronmacintyre/status/1514653963408318474

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ATVI:NASDAQ

2022-04-16
Link to episode

E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more

0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more

8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups

14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model

41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming

1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/live-fast-die-young-behind-the-fall-of-a-one-click-wonder

https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/08/better-com-cto-steps-down-agrees-to-voluntary-separation-in-wake-of-mass-layoffs

https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/better-com-offering-employees-60-days-severance-losing-tens-of-millions-per-month-per-sources

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/gopuff-plans-hundreds-of-layoffs-to-cut-40-million-in-costs

https://articles.sequoiacap.com/rip-good-times

https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-board-meeting

https://medium.com/craft-ventures/blitzfail-how-not-to-go-off-the-rails-24ccaf92c410

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/musk-takes-9-2-stake-in-twitter-after-questioning-platform

https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1511320953598357505

https://twitter.com/jack/status/1511329369473564677

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344

https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511360061670662149

https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511674851202945024

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/06/tech/pinterest-climate-change-misinformation-policy/index.html

https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/gro-predicts-us-corn-stocks-will-drop-sharply-in-2022-23

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-state-department-failed-to-prevent-the-war-will-it-now-prevent-the-peace

2022-04-09
Link to episode

E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig

5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration

26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration

48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted?

1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both?

1:19:03 Food shortage update

1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy

https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/

https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html

https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R

2022-04-01
Link to episode

E73: Late-stage VC markdowns and mistakes, market strategy, Ukraine/Russia update with Brad Gerstner

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg

1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies

21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology

40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble

53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive

1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war

1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

https://twitter.com/altcap

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200

https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball

https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/niall-ferguson-putin-and-biden-misunderstand-history-in-ukraine-war

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html

https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-first-phase-ukraine-operation-mostly-complete-focus-now-donbass-2022-03-25/

https://www.wptv.com/news/national/russia-ukraine-conflict/zelenskyy-warns-of-world-war-iii-if-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-fail

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/03/20/zelensky_ukraine_failed_putin_talks_would_mean_a_third_world_war.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716

https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html

https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/24/biden-says-us-would-respond-to-russia-if-putin-uses-chemical-or-biological-weapons.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/03/09/blinken-u-s-would-not-recognize-crimea-secession/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-sticks-with-longstanding-u-s-policy-on-use-of-nuclear-weapons-amid-pressure-from-allies-11648176849

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-21/china-embraces-supply-side-economics-with-tax-cuts

2022-03-26
Link to episode

E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy

2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in

15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping

34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization

49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets

1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html

https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html

https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637

https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/

https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981

https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232

https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1

https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298

https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png

https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22

https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926

https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato

https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/

https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/

https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/

https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/

2022-03-19
Link to episode

E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people

0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare

16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia

34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far

46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan

1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk

1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186

https://www.onmanorama.com/news/world/2022/03/04/garry-kasparov-former-world-chess-champion-attacks-russian-president-vladimir-putin-ukraine-invasion-twitter.html

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1574056/world-war-3-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-fiona-hill-us-national-security-council

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-meets-ukraine-calls-no-fly-zone-hinder-russia-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS

https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227

https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html

https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/germany-hike-defense-spending-scholz-says-further-policy-shift-2022-02-27/

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/germany-aims-get-100-energy-renewable-sources-by-2035-2022-02-28/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html

https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/

https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/biography-george-h-w-bush-slams-iron-ass-cheney-rumsfeld-n457911

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU

https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424

https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html

https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291

https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-russia-ukraine-war-old-woman-not-giving-invading-russian-soldiers-the-finger-1920479-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203

https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/

https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281

https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/wheat-corn-prices-surge-amid-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/2774260/

https://www.myelomacrowd.org/janssen-s-cilta-cel-car-t-receives-fda-approval-for-relapsed-multiple-myeloma/

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/fda-approves-jjs-cell-based-multiple-myeloma-therapy-blood-cancer-treatment-wsj-2022-03-01/

https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/a2-bios-activator-blocker-car-t-cell-therapies-show-early-promise-solid-cancers

https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911

https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926

 

2022-03-05
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