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FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

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Episodes

Why Trump's Approval Rating Has Increased

The crew discusses where we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis, how Americans are rating the president's performance, and the significance of the DPA.
2020-03-30
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COVID-19 Broke The Jobless Claims Chart

Economics reporter Ben Casselman joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the stunning unemployment claims numbers from last week.
2020-03-26
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How COVID-19 Is -- And Isn't -- Changing Politics

The crew discusses how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting the politics of Washington, D.C. and how it's disrupting the 2020 presidential race.
2020-03-23
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How COVID-19 Is Changing The Economy

Economist Tara Sinclair joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic so far.
2020-03-20
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How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote

FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.
2020-03-18
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Coronavirus, Uncertainty, Politics

The crew discusses the coronavirus crisis and the uncertainty and politics surrounding it.
2020-03-16
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Biden And Sanders Debate Amid Pandemic

The crew reacts to the first Biden vs. Sanders one-on-one debate, which took place amid the coronavirus pandemic.
2020-03-16
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The Democratic Primary Is No Longer Competitive

The crew reacts to the latest round of Democratic primary results, in which Biden far outperformed Sanders.
2020-03-11
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Is Even Coronavirus Partisan?

The crew discusses the results of a poll on coronavirus and previews the upcoming primary races.
2020-03-09
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Model Talk: Biden Is A Clear Favorite

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2020-03-06
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Emergency Podcast: Warren Drops Out

The crew reacts to the news that Sen. Elizabeth Warren is suspending her campaign for president.
2020-03-05
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Biden Won Super Tuesday. What Now?

The crew reacts to Joe Biden's very strong performance on Super Tuesday and asks what comes next.
2020-03-04
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What's At Stake On Super Tuesday

The crew previews the races that will be decided on Super Tuesday and debates the effect Buttigieg's dropout will have.
2020-03-02
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Biden Wins Big In South Carolina

The crew reacts to Biden's big win in South Carolina and discusses what comes next in what looks to be a two person race.
2020-03-01
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How Rep. James Clyburn Settled On Endorsing Biden

Rep. James Clyburn endorsed Joe Biden on Wednesday. Galen Druke sat down with Clyburn ahead of his endorsement to discuss Biden, South Carolina and the Democratic Party.
2020-02-26
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What Went Down In The South Carolina Debate

The crew reacts to a messy Democratic debate in South Carolina.
2020-02-26
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Sanders Wins Big In Nevada

Nate Silver and editor of the Nevada Independent, Jon Ralston, join the podcast from Las Vegas to discuss the results of the Nevada caucuses.
2020-02-23
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Bloomberg Stumbles In Chaotic Debate

In a late night edition of the podcast, the crew reacts to the Nevada Democratic primary debate.
2020-02-20
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Can Bloomberg Win?!

The crew discusses Michael Bloomberg's chances of winning the nomination. They also debate whether Bernie Sanders has a lock on the Nevada caucuses.
2020-02-18
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Model Talk: The Chance Of Chaos Increases

Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the Democratic primary forecast has updated since the New Hampshire primary.
2020-02-14
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Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire

The crew reacts to the results of the New Hampshire primary, including a Sanders win, a close second for Buttigieg and a surprise third place finish for Klobuchar.
2020-02-12
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Live From Manchester: A New Hampshire Preview

At a live show in Manchester, the crew previews the New Hampshire primary, debates the likelihood of a contested convention and plays a game!
2020-02-10
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Live From The New Hampshire Debate

The crew reacts to the Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire, from the spin room.
2020-02-08
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The Results In Iowa

The crew discusses the results -- so far -- from the Iowa caucuses. They also check in on the race in New Hampshire and the vote to acquit President Trump.
2020-02-06
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Chaos In Iowa

The crew discusses the lack of results in the Democratic Iowa caucuses.
2020-02-04
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Model Talk: What To Expect From The Iowa Caucuses

Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latest polling in the final day before the Iowa caucuses.
2020-02-02
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Stacey Abrams Thinks She'll Be President By 2040

As part of our When Women Run series, Clare Malone sat down with Stacey Abrams, former candidate for governor of Georgia.
2020-01-31
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When Women Run

To better understand what it's really like to run for office as a woman, we spoke to women from every state who have done it -- 97 women in all. These are their stories.
2020-01-29
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The Sanders Surge

The crew assesses Bernie Sanders's improvement in the polls a week before the Iowa caucuses. They also discuss reporting from John Bolton's new book.
2020-01-27
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The Primaries Project: There's Gotta Be A Better System...Right?

This is the third installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
2020-01-23
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How Senators Are Calculating Impeachment Politics

FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join Galen Druke to discuss the political considerations at play in President Trump's impeachment trial.
2020-01-22
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Live From DC: America's Favorite Sandwich

In front of a live audience in DC, the crew debates the electoral cases of the leading Democratic candidates. The also discuss electability and guess what America thinks.
2020-01-20
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The Primaries Project: The Effects Of Reform

This is the second installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
2020-01-16
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The Last Pre-Iowa Debate

The crew reacts to the candidates' performances in the last Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses.
2020-01-15
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A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa

The crew discusses the latest polling in Iowa, showing a tight four-way race. They also talk about Booker's decision to dropout and Tom Steyer's polling in NV and SC.
2020-01-13
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Model Talk: The Primary Forecast Is Live

FiveThirtyEight's 2020 Democratic primary forecast is live. In a new installment of "Model Talk" Nate Silver discusses what went into creating it.
2020-01-10
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The Primaries Project: How 1968 Changed Everything

This is the first installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American history.
2020-01-09
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How The Iran Conflict Could Affect 2020

The team discusses the political implication's of President Trump's decision to kill Iran's Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani in a drone strike.
2020-01-06
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The Biggest Political Moments Of 2019

The podcast crew looks back at the biggest political moments of 2019 and looks ahead to the most pressing questions of 2020.
2019-12-30
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Eggnog And Listener Questions

In this holiday installment of the podcast, the crew drinks eggnog and answers questions from listeners.
2019-12-23
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The House Impeaches President Trump

President Donald Trump became the third president in American history to be impeached on Thursday. The podcast team discusses how we got here and what comes next.
2019-12-19
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Do Voters' Second Choices Matter?

The crew previews what to expect from this week's likely impeachment vote and debate how much voters' second choices matter in the Democratic primary.
2019-12-16
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Conservatives Win Big In The UK Election

University of Cambridge political scientists Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to break down the results of the 2019 British general election.
2019-12-13
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The Primary According To The Early States

The crew shares a preview of FiveThirtyEight's polling averages in the early states. They also discuss the path Trump's presidency is on.
2019-12-09
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The Legal Experts And The Polls

We review the House testimony from legal scholars on whether Trump committed an impeachable offense and check out the results of our polling collaboration with Ipsos.
2019-12-04
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Emergency Podcast: Harris Drops Out

The crew reacts to Sen. Kamala Harris's decision to drop out of the Democratic primary.
2019-12-03
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Is The Party Deciding?

The crew looks at which candidates are racking up endorsements and whether there's a meaningful trend in favor of Biden. They also take stock of Harris's troubles on the trail
2019-12-02
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A Very FiveThirtyEight Thanksgiving

The crew discusses public opinion on impeachment and plays a Thanksgiving-inspired game.
2019-11-25
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What Went Down In The 5th Democratic Debate

In a late night podcast, the crew reacts to the fifth Democratic primary debate.
2019-11-21
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Impeachment Hearings Day 4: Sondland Testifies

The crew reacts to U.S. Ambassador to the E.U. Gordon Sondland's testimony in the fourth day of public impeachment hearings.
2019-11-20
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